Pentagon predicts Ukraine counteroffensive can be lengthy and violent


BRUSSELS — Senior Pentagon officers predicted on Thursday an extended, violent battle as Ukrainian forces try and drive occupying Russian troops out of their nation, providing their most candid feedback thus far a few new offensive marketing campaign reliant on Western navy gear and coaching.

Gen. Mark A. Milley, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Workers, stated it might be “very untimely” to estimate how lengthy Ukraine’s counteroffensive might take, contemplating that Russia has a number of hundred thousand troops dug in alongside the entrance strains. However he characterised the operation as “a really violent combat” that may “possible take a substantial period of time — and at excessive price.”

Protection Secretary Lloyd Austin, showing alongside Milley throughout a information convention at NATO headquarters, famous that the Kremlin had begun to flow into battlefield imagery of smoldering Western fight autos. Ukrainian forces, he stated, have the flexibility to recuperate broken navy gear and restore it.

“The Russians have proven us [the] similar 5 autos a few thousand instances from 10 totally different angles,” Austin stated, downplaying the importance of Ukraine’s losses up to now within the counteroffensive. “Fairly frankly, the Ukrainians … nonetheless have a whole lot of fight functionality.” He added that whichever aspect is healthier capable of maintain its fight forces “will in all probability have the benefit on the finish of the day.”

The Individuals’ remarks got here as Ukrainian officers stated that the nation’s navy had retaken about 40 sq. miles of territory from Russian occupying forces and that Kyiv’s counteroffensive was advancing “regularly however certainly.” Earlier this week, the Ukrainian navy stated it had liberated seven small villages in southeastern Ukraine, most clustered close to the border of the Donetsk and Zaporizhzhia areas.

Russia’s Protection Ministry has characterised Ukraine’s makes an attempt to retake misplaced territory as “unsuccessful,” saying Kyiv’s forces had suffered “vital losses in manpower and gear.” Moscow additionally claimed to have thwarted dozens of assaults and reported a profitable strike on a warehouse storing ammunition and gear — but it surely didn’t specify the place.

Neither aspect’s claims might be independently verified.

Thursday’s information convention in Brussels concluded a gathering of protection officers from dozens of nations aiding Ukraine within the warfare. Collectively, they’ve supplied tens of billions of {dollars} in navy help, together with an more and more refined array of weapons that now consists of Western battle tanks and the prospect of F-16 fighter jets.

It didn’t seem that the Ukraine Protection Contact Group, because the coalition is understood, had settled on a plan for outfitting Ukraine with F-16s. Milley praised the Netherlands and Denmark, which final month agreed to steer a coaching program for Ukrainian air and floor crews on find out how to fly and preserve the superior plane, however he stated that the trouble “will take a while” and that there stays “a whole lot of work to do.”

“You need to do language coaching. You need to do pilot coaching. You’ve acquired to get all of the programs set in place,” Milley stated. “These wheels are in movement, however we’re a methods from completion of that mission.”

The potent U.S. arsenal for Ukraine’s counteroffensive

In separate remarks, Ukrainian Protection Minister Oleksii Reznikov spoke excitedly about “the so-called hen coalition” and stated he had a dedication from a number of nations that coaching will happen. Along with the Netherlands and Denmark, Reznikov stated, Sweden has agreed to some type of “testing” within the effort. Sweden makes the Gripen fighter jet and final month signaled that, whereas Stockholm has no near-term plan to switch any plane, it might let Ukraine learn to function them.

The assembly occurred as Russia continues to bombard Ukrainian cities and civilian infrastructure with long-range missiles and one-way assault drones. Following one other spherical of Russian strikes on cities throughout Ukraine, Hanna Maliar, Ukraine’s deputy protection minister, stated earlier this week that “extraordinarily fierce battles” are raging alongside Ukraine’s 600-mile entrance line, as Kyiv amplifies its counteroffensive.

NATO Secretary Common Jens Stoltenberg has expressed cautious optimism on the incremental progress of Ukrainian forces, saying they’re “making advances and liberating extra land.” However Stoltenberg, too, has conceded that it was too early to know whether or not the Ukrainian effort could be a “turning level” within the battle and warned of brutal battles forward.

“No person anticipated there to be zero casualties,” he stated. “There may be fierce combating happening.”

A Western official, talking on the situation of anonymity to temporary the media, predicted “grinding, pricey warfare for a lot of months to come back.”

Ukraine claims small territorial positive aspects as counteroffensive grinds ahead

U.S. officers have been hesitant to deal with how the counteroffensive is progressing, however they’re carefully monitoring the combating, with a senior U.S. navy official saying efforts already are underway to include early takeaways into the Western fight coaching being supplied to Ukrainian forces.

“You don’t need to fall into the logical fallacy of claiming that the primary time one thing occurs, it’s a pattern,” the senior U.S. navy official stated, showing to reference imagery on social media meant to recommend Ukraine’s efforts to date have been ineffective.

Austin, requested in regards to the adaptation of coaching over time, stated Thursday that the methods wherein squads and platoons of Ukrainian fight troops are noticed combating can be included “into the coaching that we’re doing for follow-on forces.”

U.S. navy officers stated that greater than 57,000 Ukrainian troops have been skilled by Western allies since Russia’s invasion in February 2022, together with greater than 11,000 by the US. U.S. efforts have concerned coaching 12 battalions of Ukrainian troops at two fight ranges in Germany, together with three items on wheeled Stryker autos, three items on closely armored Bradley infantry combating autos, and 6 items on Humvees and different autos utilized by infantry troopers.

Amid NATO cut up, U.S. backs incremental step for Ukraine’s entry

The present U.S. coaching effort additionally consists of instruction on M1 Abrams tanks, which the Biden administration pledged to Ukraine months in the past as a part of an association that earlier this yr included the switch of German-made Leopard battle tanks from a number of European allies. The Abrams coaching started in Could and is anticipated to be full across the finish of the summer season.

In latest weeks, the US and its allies have sought to steer conversations towards offering navy help for Ukraine past the present offensive, with an eye fixed to creating safety preparations that might deter Russia long-term. Diplomats from a number of member states are discussing bilateral or multilateral agreements with Ukraine alongside the strains of the agreements that channel billions of {dollars} in U.S. navy assist to Israel.

The thought of turning Ukraine right into a “porcupine” that might deter or repel future Russian assaults has sturdy help from allies however falls wanting Kyiv’s calls for to affix the alliance. Nothing aside from membership would carry Ukraine beneath NATO’s mutual protection pledge.

Stern reported from Kyiv. Francesca Ebel in London contributed to this report.

correction

A earlier model of this text misattributed feedback about F-16 coaching to Protection Secretary Lloyd Austin. The remarks have been made by Gen. Mark A. Milley, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Workers. It has been corrected.

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